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76ers Use Bandage Where They Need a Tourniquet, Sign Allen Iverson

Posted on 03 December 2009 by Mike

Let’s get something out of the way right up front.  I love Allen Iverson.  No, seriously.  He is my favorite NBA player of all time.  I’m completely irrational about him.  I make excuses for him and purposefully overlook all of his flaws.  I blame Billy King for mismanaging his prime years and hold King, not Iverson himself, fully responsible for the 76ers’ inability to win the NBA title while AI was here.  I was crushed when Iverson was traded.  I am an enabler and an apologist and I am not ashamed of it.  I did everything but camp out in front of Knicks’ GM Donnie Walsh’s house when it looked like New York might sign Iverson, hoping that I would get to see my favorite player finish his career in a blaze of glory in the city where I reside.  But the Knicks passed.  And Lou Williams broke his jaw.  And the next thing you know, Allen Iverson is back with the Philadelphia 76ers.  I have no idea how to feel.  Actually, that’s not true.  I just don’t want to deal with how I feel.  Because deep down, as much as I love Allen Iverson, I don’t think this is the right move for the Sixers.

Then again, since the 2001 Iverson MVP/Finals season there haven’t been a whole lot of right moves for the Sixers.  From ill-fated attempts to find AI the second scorer he didn’t really need (Keith Van Horn, Glenn Robinson, Chris Webber) to awarding absurd contracts to marginal players (Willie Green, Kenny Thomas, Samuel Dalembert) it’s safe to say that the percentage of successful moves made by Philadelphia GM Ed Stefanski and his predecessor Billy King is far lower than Allen Iverson’s field goal percentage ever was.  So my while my angle is probably becoming clear at this point, it doesn’t change the premise.  The Sixers signing Allen Iverson is the wrong move, but it’s not Iverson’s fault.

What we have here is just about a no-win situation.  I mean, what is the absolute best-case scenario?  Even with Iverson in the fold, the Sixers have two key players in Lou Williams and Marreese Speights who will miss the next two months or so with injuries.  They still have no idea what they can expect to get out of Elton Brand.  They have the wrong coach and they don’t play any defense.  But let’s say Iverson has something in the tank.  And you’ll be surprised to find out that I think he does.  What is the best that could happen?  The Sixers could make the playoffs and maybe, MAYBE make it out of the first round.  That’s the ceiling, and I doubt that they even get that far.  But say they do.  What then?  Do they re-sign Iverson for next year?  Does he retire after the season?  Essentially, even in the off chance that the Iverson signing turns out to be a success, the chances of his second tenure in Philly ending well for everyone involved are close to zero.

Of course, there are reasons for the Sixers to sign Iverson, and some of them even make sense.  Just not from a basketball perspective.  There is the “buzz” that AI generates and the boost in attendance that comes with it.  But as a fan who follows the team closely no matter what, I don’t care about either of those things and neither should you.  How does it make a difference to the hardcore fan if casual fans are talking about the team?  If anything, it gets a little annoying.  And while it’s nice to see the team do well at the gate, the extra money doesn’t necessarily make the team better.  It just lines the pockets of the Comcast corporation.  The 76ers are already over the salary cap and they more than likely wouldn’t go over the luxury tax no matter how much extra income they generated.  They might be encouraged to spend their mid-level exception next season, but there isn’t a player available at that price that makes them a title contender any time soon.  In fact, it might be nice if they were a little more diligent with how they spend their money.

That leads us to a convoluted way in which the Iverson signing makes basketball sense, but not really.  The 76ers are SO screwed up, that their only option is to acquire as much talent as possible and make a “run” at…um, I guess the second round of the playoffs.  But that’s dumb.  It’s not the only option, it’s the easiest option and an option that allows Ed Stefanski to keep his job for a while longer.  Again, I ask: What is the end game?  What is the plan?  There isn’t one.  The Iverson signing will get the fans fired up for a little while, and for a while it will look like Philadelphia is embracing basketball again.  But it won’t last.  The fans, even the casual ones, aren’t dumb.  They know.  And next year, the 76ers will have the exact same attendance problems that they are having this year, because the fans know this is a rudderless, boring team that is is ultimately headed nowhere.

I was chatting with a friend the other day who was frustrated about a situation with his career.  He was dealing with an organization that was involved in something he wanted to do (though only tangentially) and the organization was giving him a hard time because they couldn’t see how what he wanted would immediately benefit them even though, if they really thought about it, the long term benefits were immense.  In his frustration, he said something to me that, as I thought about the Iverson situation, made a whole lot of sense.   “I don’t understand people who are task-oriented but not strategic.”  Sure, the Sixers have been doing stuff, but rarely has there been a strategy in mind.  They had cap room burning a hole in their pocket before last season, so they spent it on Elton Brand.  They locked Andre Iguodala up to a long-term, big money contract even though he wasn’t a superstar.  They drafted Jrue Holiday even though he was a project (albeit one with a lot of potential) when there were point guards who were more ready to contribute immediately available in the draft.  They hired Eddie Jordon to coach the team and install a system that did not fit a roster full of athletes who should have just been turned loose to play an exciting, up and down style of basketball.  And that’s just the last few (Ed Stefanski) years.  What was so valuable about Sammy Dalembert that they needed to spend all that money on him?  Why did Willie Green need all those years?  Why trade Iverson for a veteran point guard in Andre Miller when they didn’t have the roster to do anything more than just make the playoffs with him?  Why not rebuild and/or flip Miller for some assets?  I’m sure you can some up with more moves like these, and some of them even make sense in and of themselves.  But there is no overarching philosophy that unites them, and combined they only contribute to mediocrity.

So now we’re in a position where the 76ers are relying on a bailout from Allen Iverson.  The absolute ceiling for this acquisition is that it becomes an exciting distraction.  What they need to do is rebuild, but they can’t.  Or they won’t.  Rebuilding would mean bruised egos and an admission of mistakes, and might even cost Ed Stefanski his job.  There is a young core in place that could be the foundation of a championship team.  Thad Young, Marreese Speights, Lou Williams, and Jrue Holiday should be playing together, making mistakes together, and forming the heart of a team that the city of Philadelphia could embrace.  There probably isn’t a superstar among them, and one would be required eventually.  But one could be acquired either through the lottery picks that would certainly come from letting those guys develop or through the cap room that would be available from only investing reasonable money in core players and not overspending for mediocrity.  Alas, this is mostly a pipe dream.  Instead, the Sixers have big money invested in Andre Iguodala and Elton Brand, veterans who, while nice players, do not form the 1-2 punch of a championship caliber team.  Instead, the Sixers can’t give away Sam Dalembert, who, while he may be playing some of the best basketball of his career this year, is still mostly boneheaded and can not seem to get it out of his skull that even though he is paid to be a star, he isn’t one.  Instead, the Sixers give 40 minutes a game to Willie Green.  Instead, the Sixers sign Allen Iverson and try to emotionally manipulate fans into spending their money on a directionless team.

Clearing house and building around the young guys would be extremely difficult, but not impossible.  But it would take someone who is forward thinking to be making the decisions for the organization, and I do not believe that person is currently employed by the organization.  I love Allen Iverson.  I believe I mentioned that.  I will enjoy his time back in Philly and hope for the best.  But I refuse to be sucked in by the move.  I refuse to contribute more money than I would have already to an organization that insults the intelligence of its fans.  There might be some short-term benefits to bringing back AI, but it really only delays the inevitable.  We’re all going nowhere just a little bit quicker.

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2009 NBA Draft Review

Posted on 26 June 2009 by Mike

I love the NBA Draft.  I don’t know why.  I like NBA basketball and I like college basketball, but I don’t love either the way I love baseball.  But the NBA Draft?  That, I love like I love baseball.  So I thought I’d give you a few thoughts on the proceedings last night.

First of all, this was by all accounts a horrible draft.  Perhaps one of the weakest in years.  In my opinion, there were two players that have star potential (Blake Griffin and Ricky Rubio) and I wouldn’t bet my life on either.  After that, there are probably 10-12 guys who have the potential to be solid rotation guys and have 6-10 year careers.  So everything I have to say about any of these guys is relative.  If I liked a pick, it’s not because I think the selecting team got a star.  If I think a guy is a sleeper, it’s not that I think the team got a guy who will start or even contribute right away.  But it’s fun to speculate either way.  So, without further ado, let’s get started:

Picks I am completely ambivalent about:

Jrue Holiday to the Sixers at 17: I have no idea what to make of this pick.  By all accounts, the Sixers got tremendous value here as Holiday was projected as a top 10 talent.  But of course, that is top 10 in a weak draft.  He’s big for his position, can get to the rim, and plays some D.  Great.  He also didn’t play the point at all last year for UCLA, scored only 8.5 points per game off the ball, and can’t shoot.  I would have preferred Eric Maynor in this spot, as he is a pure point guard who could step in and play right away.  I also would have been happy with Ty Lawson, who is really fast and would have been a killer in transition.  But I’m willing to give the Sixers the benefit of the doubt.  This pick reminds me a little bit of the 2007 draft when the team selected Thaddeus Young over a more experienced Al Thornton based on upside.  Obviously that pick worked out pretty well.

What I don’t understand at all is where the Sixers are headed with this.  They are a team that is not really built to win now, but they don’t appear to be building for the future either.  They just awarded a max contract to Elton Brand, who does not fit at all with their young core.   Their three highest paid players are Brand, Andre Iguodala, and Sam Dalembert.  That is obviously not a championship caliber Big 3.  I like the young talent the Sixers have accumulated with Young, Holiday, Lou Williams, and Marreese Speights.  The problem is that there is no cap room in sight (spending the money of Brand was pointless) and instead of letting the young guys play and grow together, taking their lumps, and adding lottery picks, the Sixers are now stuck in a no man’s land of first round playoff exits and middling draft picks, with no way to add difference-making talent.  In other words, there is no plan.  This team will not be championship-level good for a very, very long time and it makes me sad.  There is a reason why this site is called Mike on the Phillies.  (Seriously, I would have rather just watched Allen Iverson jack up 35 shots a game on a team headed nowhere than what the Sixers have in place right now.)

Undrafted free agent signings that would make me happy:

Sixers sign Temple’s Dionte Christmas: While he certainly wasn’t a lottery pick, I was surprised to see that no one in the second round took a chance with him.  He is an NBA-quality 3-point shooter right now.  He may not be athletic enough, be able to get his own shot, or be able to stay in front of an NBA two guard, but neither can a lot of guys (ahem, JJ Redick).  Christmas is a hard worker with a good attitude and someone will give him a chance.  With the 76ers’ glaring need for outside shooters, I hope that they are the ones to do it.

*****end Philly-centric portion of post*****

Picks I liked:

  • Blake Griffin to the Clippers at 1: Seems like a no brainer, but with the Clippers you never know.  Thoroughly enjoyed watching him in college and if he is not a star in the NBA he will certainly be a starter and play for 10-12 years.  I would like this pick even better if the Clips didn’t have Zack Randolph…
  • Ricky Rubio to Minnesota at 5: How Rubio fell this far I don’t know, but kudos to new GM David Kahn for not over-thinking things and taking the only other player in this draft with the potential to lead a team to a championship.
  • Brandon Jennings to Milwaukee at 10: Jennings was the top rated point guard in his class coming out of high school and I appear to be in the minority of those who thought going to Europe for a year was a good idea.  It was an opportunity for him to learn the game from a different perspective, play against bigger, better players, and deal with some adversity.  Jennings is still a headcase, and it is probably a coin flip as to whether or not he will succeed, but he has as much talent as any point guard in the draft.  I like this pick even better if the Bucks can re-sign Ramon Sessions for Jennings to play behind for a few years.
  • Terrence Williams to New Jersey at 11: Williams is one of the best athletes in the draft and plays D.  He fills a need for the Nets, who just traded Vince Carter to Orlando.  All of a sudden, the Nets have a decent young core in Williams, Devin Harris, Courtney Lee (acquired from Orlando in the Carter trade) and Brook Lopez.
  • Tyler Hansbrough to the Pacers at 13:  In a normal draft, Hansbrough might go 15 to 20 picks later, but in this draft he isn’t a bad pick.  You know what you are getting from him for the next ten years: a solid rotation guy that will rebound, work hard, and provide energy.  In this draft, there is something to be said for that.
  • Ty Lawson to Denver (via Minnesota) at 18: Lawson will be a solid backup to Chauncy Billups and provide a spark off the bench with his speed in transition.  He’s undersized and doesn’t play a whole lot of defense, but he won’t be asked to do too much in Denver and should help them contend in the West again.
  • Eric Maynor to Utah at 20: I’m bitter about this pick because I wanted him for the Sixers.  He is ready to play point guard in the NBA right now, is a solid defender, and should be a good backup to Deron Williams for the Jazz.
  • Wayne Ellington to Minnesota at 28: The Philly kid should be able to step into the Timberwolves rotation right away.  He can shoot, score, and defend.  Nice value this late in the draft.

Picka I don’t quite understand:

  • James Harden to Oklahoma City at 3: Harden does a lot of things well, but that’s almost another way of saying he doesn’t do anything well.  He should fit in with the young core that the Thunder have put together, but with Ricky Rubio on the board this is a bad pick.  Even if OKC GM Sam Presti (who I think has done a fantastic job, by the way) doesn’t think Rubio and Russell Westbrook can play together (I disagree), the asset is too valuable not to take.  They still could have gotten Harden and picked something up in the process.
  • Tyreke Evans to Sacramento at 4: The Kings need a point guard.  Tyreke Evans is not a point guard.  Ricky Rubio is a point guard and probably has a higher ceiling than Evans.  Evans is strong and can score, but anyone who watched him in Memphis last year realizes his point guard skills are lacking.  Sacramento missed a real opportunity to build around Rubio, Kevin Martin, Jason Thompson, and Spencer Hawes.  Rubio makes all of those guys better.  Now, they are just another team going nowhere.
  • Jonny Flynn to Minnesota at 6: Don’t get me wrong, I love Jonny Flynn.  But the T-Wolves just picked Rubio at 5 and neither player has the skills to play off the ball or defend shooting guards.  I was waiting for news of a trade, but none came.  Now, it appears that Rubio is on the fence about whether he will come to Minnesota or stay in Spain, so that could be an explanation.  If they knew Rubio would not play for them and picked him as an asset they could trade, fine.  But if Flynn and Rubio are on the roster come October, this was not a good idea at all.  Stephen Curry would have been a much better pick here.
  • DeMar DeRozan to Toronto at 9: DeRozan is really athletic, but that’s about it.  I don’t think he has any discernible NBA skills.  He is not strong enough to score on drives consistently, he can’t shoot, doesn’t pass, doesn’t play defense and doesn’t have a high basketball IQ.  I suppose he has some upside because he is so athletic, but he has a lot to learn.
  • Christian Eyenga to Cleveland at 30: The Cavs needed to get someone to help LeBron win a title now.  Eyenga is not that guy.  This might be nitpicking a little bit as there isn’t a whole lot available with the last pick of the first round, but DeJuan Blair, Chase Budinger, and DaJuan Summers were all still on the board and could have contributed something this year.

Potential second round steals:

  • Dajuan Summers, Detroit
  • DeJuan Blair, San Antonio
  • Jodie Meeks, Milwaukee
  • Marcus Thornton, New Orleans
  • Chase Budinger, Houston
  • Danny Green, Cleveland
  • Jack McClinton, San Antontio

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